Five football betting strategies that work
Why do I play the same bet like everyone else, but they keep winning with larger amounts, while I still only stop at small bets and lose all the time?
If you have experienced that situation in life, what you need to do is find yourself another more efficient and intelligent strategy. More precisely, before wagering football at other bookmakers like W88, you must first consider it. You need to do probability calculations, determine which bet is more profitable and try to find the best odds.
Here are the top 5 best betting strategies that you will need in your football betting.
5 football-betting strategies that work
1. Goliath Bet
Source: betalyst.com
Goliath, as in David vs Goliath, is synonymous with greatness. Thanks to the Goliath strategy, players can take part in very promising bets.
As its name suggests, Goliath is a big bet. There are 8 betting options, then your bet will be divided into a total of 247 different bet types:
- 28 two-fold accumulator plays
- 56 three-fold accumulator plays
- 70 four-fold accumulator plays
- 56 five-fold accumulator plays
- 28 six-fold accumulator plays
- 8 seven-fold accumulator plays
- 1 eight-fold accumulator plays
In order to win a large number of winnings, you will need to select 2 of those 8 choices. The more correct choices, the bigger the amount you win. That is why this strategy requires your deep information and knowledge of football so much.
2. Arbitrage betting
Source: pinnacle.com
Each dealer will have a different calculation and method for setting their odds for each match. That is why this tactic focuses on finding and exploiting the odds of the bookmakers against each other.
For example, the odds of Barcelona winning at house X are 1.5 while at house Y is 3.5, which means to win $ 100, the amount you spend with dealer X is $ 66.66, while at house Y you spend only $ 28.57.
However, the odds of the houses are not always that much different. And you will need to investigate very carefully about the odds between the bookmakers. While this strategy will take you quite a bit of time, and sometimes not as very profitable, it will be fun and enjoyable as you research and compare the bookmakers.
3. Matched betting
Source: savethestudent.org
This is a betting strategy where you can monetize the betting special promotions offered by the bookmaker. These are usually free bets. Instead of betting on the team you think will win, you can put all the possibilities you think have a chance to win, so you can make a profit no matter what will go on.
You have 2 betting options when using Matched betting: one with real money, one with your bonus, in addition, you often need to wager a small amount to qualify for free betting.
In order to get more money, invest your efforts to find the bookmakers with the best and biggest welcome offers. The best thing for this type of wager is, of course, no deposit incentives, or very small deposits, although these are quite rare in sportsbooks these days.
In the process of finding potential bookmakers, you can note the following offers:
- Deposit bonus
- Free bets are non-refundable
- Free bet returns
- No risk betting
Giving you a little tip: If you want to guarantee maximum returns, you can even use two different free betting offers from two different bookmakers and bet them on the opposite results. together.
4. Price boost exploitation
Price boost exploitation is when the dealer offers the odds for a sport higher than usual as a promotion to their customers. The prices on the exchange will be lower than the back price they are offering you, meaning from these inflated prices you can profit without risk!
The amount of money that you can make from this spread is quite small and averages around $3 – $4, however, if you do it every day you can make up to $120 or even more than $180 in a week easily just from price increases!
5. Kelly Criterion
Source: mrgreen.com
And Kelly Criterion, out of all the strategies pointed out above, is the best soccer betting strategy. Although this is a strategy dating back to decades that mainly uses the stock market trading approach, you can still follow the same steps for your soccer bets.
Before we dive into the ‘how’, I need to emphasize that researching your bets is very important with this strategy as you will try to determine the probability of winning.
The Kelly Criterion tactic will help to calculate how much money you’re at risk compared to the size of your existing money.
In order to use this tactic effectively, you must consider the table’s expected chances of winning to ensure that you place a higher amount with a higher probability of winning and similarly, a lower amount with a low probability of winning. More than that, that is the main purpose of this tactic.
Once you’ve grasped your goal, you’ll need to do a bit of calculation, and apply the following formula:
(bp – q) / b = f
b: odds: multiple of the initial bet that you can take if you win, calculated by a decimal number. For example, if you bet 10 dollars, you win $50 including the stake, then your b will be 5.
p: the probability of winning your bet. For example, if you bet with a 60% chance of winning, the probability of winning is 0.60.
q: the probability of losing your bet. Taking the example above, you bet with a 60% chance to win, so the chance of losing is 40%. So the probability of losing is 0.40. Or you can simply get q = 1 – b.
f: is the final value, if f is a positive number, you should bet this game. If f is a negative number, skip this bet and find another better game.
Now we will see a more general example of this formula. Let’s say you place a bet on the Barcelona team, the odds are 5.00, the probability of winning is 60% and the probability of losing is 40%. So:
f = ((5 x 0.6 – 0.4) / 5 = 0.52 = 52%
With this result, you should bet 52% of your equity on the proposed bet.
Remember, with this strategy, you only bet on positive values.
Now you know the top 5 strategies for a big bet with a higher probability of success. There is no clear answer as to Which strategy is best. You can discover great bets with the help of Fun88 dealers. However, the final result of the match and whether you win the bet or not depends on many other factors, as well as chance. You can invest your time researching to develop these strategies further and choose the right one for yourself.