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Next Manager


davehartshill

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People talking about win percentage as a reasonable indicator of whether a manager is suitable or not - it doesn't make a big difference to be honest. 

Football managers nearly always get sacked, because they've gone on a bad run, which in turn affects their win %. When they are winning it improves, when they are losing, it decreases. Anything above 40% is pretty decent, over a career - that's 18 wins in a 46 game season - throw in a few draws and you are top half every time. There's not much difference between 35 and 40% win ratios.

Carol has her criteria - she will decide at the end of the day if she thinks the new man (I assume it's a man!) meets it!

 

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2 minutes ago, The_godfather said:

People talking about win percentage as a reasonable indicator of whether a manager is suitable or not - it doesn't make a big difference to be honest. 

Football managers nearly always get sacked, because they've gone on a bad run, which in turn affects their win %. When they are winning it improves, when they are losing, it decreases. Anything above 40% is pretty decent, over a career - that's 18 wins in a 46 game season - throw in a few draws and you are top half every time. There's not much difference between 35 and 40% win ratios.

Carol has her criteria - she will decide at the end of the day if she thinks the new man (I assume it's a man!) meets it!

 

Agreed. Carol will make the decision & we have to trust her judgement. She has put the remit into the public domain & people will have to form their own judgements on whether they think the new guy ticks the boxes.

We will back whoever she chooses, whether it's somebody people fancy or not. UTV

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Surely this is all pointless, as Carol explicitly said Pugh didn't want it?

In that case, under no circumstances should it be Pugh. Why on earth would we appoint a manager who doesn't even want to apply for the job, who himself doesn't feel he is ready?

You can forgive the fans for having misgivings, considering Pugh himself isn't even behind Pugh.

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7 minutes ago, Joe B said:

Surely this is all pointless, as Carol explicitly said Pugh didn't want it?

In that case, under no circumstances should it be Pugh. Why on earth would we appoint a manager who doesn't even want to apply for the job, who himself doesn't feel he is ready?

You can forgive the fans for having misgivings, considering Pugh himself isn't even behind Pugh.

Did she say explicity he didn't want it or that he hadnt applied ?

I agree with you though why appoint him if he thinks hes not ready ?

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Just now, Mario said:

Did she say explicity he didn't want it or that he hadnt applied ?

I agree with you though why appoint him if he thinks hes not ready ?

Think it was both. He doesn't think he's ready and therefore he hasn't applied.

On that basis, surely there's no possibility of him being in position more than the next few weeks? We can't entrust the club to a man who himself doesn't think he's ready. It would be lunacy.

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6 hours ago, Iron Curtain said:

I’m not asking about the cup run in isolation.

I get you don’t want him... that’s fine.

But if the vale had a 40% win rate, made the playoffs and made the league cup quarter final next season... you wouldn’t call that a success? 

 

He doesn't have a 40% win rate i think its around 37%

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5 hours ago, Joe B said:

Think it was both. He doesn't think he's ready and therefore he hasn't applied.

On that basis, surely there's no possibility of him being in position more than the next few weeks? We can't entrust the club to a man who himself doesn't think he's ready. It would be lunacy.

I have worked with lots of people who didn't think they were ready but it turned out that they were. Nothing wrong with a bit of self doubt, better than arrogance and delusion.

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Last Thursday she said they hadn't started the interview process and it would be done with speed not haste. Yet by Friday people were saying it's Flitcroft. What's more likely to of happend is they interviewed him on Friday and people have found out and assumed it's done.

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1 hour ago, CAVALIER said:

Pretty sure Pugh said he wasn’t ready but would do what the club wanted? I don’t see it as lunacy especially with his win ratio whilst on the Bench. 

3 games, 2 against the bottom 2, is not a good enough sample size to judge a manager on. 

I struggle with the concept that we get promised a successful, experienced manager, and Pugh doesn't want the job himself, and we still end up with Pugh. 

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Folks, Carol explicitly promised an experienced and successful manager, and Pugh himself has said he's not ready.

Based on this, under no circumstances should it be Danny Pugh. It's a non-discussion.

If it does end up being Pugh, I don't think you can begrudge fans being disappointed and confused, as it contradicts everything being said by the club. 

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