The Valiants will be looking to make a push for the play-offs by building on their impressive home record when they entertain relegation threatened Fleetwood on Saturday.
Vale have only lost three times this season against teams who currently occupy the bottom half of the table, and these were all away from home…
Vale are unbeaten in eight games at home, and this strong from at Vale Park is what makes this a potentially strong bet. Combined with the fact that Fleetwood have won just once away from home in their last eight games, this looks to be a home banker.
The biggest concern for home fans is the lack of goals in the Vale side, with just 8 scored in their last 10 games. The over reliance on keeping clean sheets for victories is highlighted with three of the last four wins being by the 1-0 score line. Whilst Fleetwood may be struggling in 21st, they have actually scored just one goal fewer than Vale this season. The key here is that Fleetwood have managed just a single clean sheet on their away travels so far this season.
However, when Vale fail to score in tends to be against the better teams in the division, with recent blanks against Walsall, Wigan and Coventry. These three games all ended in defeat, as did the fixture against Millwall, but crucially all these teams are currently in the top six.
Vale have only lost three times this season against teams who currently occupy the bottom half of the table, and these were all away from home.
When you consider all of the above factors, the odds of 7/5 about a Vale victory look very tempting. The odds of 7/1 about a 1-0 victory to Vale also look worthy of a small interest. Whilst betting is extremely unpredictable, the form and stats presented above makes these bets more reliable than the randomness of other gambling games such as slot machines or pokies, which you can play here should you want to gamble before this fixture.